SETI will fail because we forget that intelligent life goes extinct as quickly as it emerges.
There is a peculiar positivism especially in the US dreaming we will travel the universe and colonise other planets. Why? We have everything we need here. But it forgets that intelligent life occurred through mechanisms we don't understand and so it will go extinct by those same mechanism.
It just takes the rate of extinction to be faster than the rate of creation for it to be extremely unlikely for two intelligent Lifes to meet. That is why SETI will fail. And why the US needs to come home and appreciate this small window of intelligent existence before it (most likely) is the instrument to destroy it.
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